Supporter of Former Dictator Poised to Win Chilean Presidency Amid Rising Crime
Chile is facing a pivotal moment in its political landscape as concerns over escalating crime and unchecked migration have dominated the national discourse. Once regarded as a model nation in Latin America, Chile now contends with significant challenges posed by organized crime, particularly from groups such as the Venezuelan gang Tren de Aragua, which is designated as a terrorist organization by the United States.
The ongoing surge in violence has been partially attributed to an influx of migrants, leading to heightened public anxiety. While some observers point to political rhetoric from far-right candidates as fueling these fears, official statistics also indicate a marked increase in organized criminal activity in recent years.
The current presidential race reflects widespread dissatisfaction with the ruling government. The incumbent administration, led by President Gabriel Boric, has faced criticism for its perceived inability to address the security crisis effectively. Although Boric initially inspired optimism with promises of comprehensive reforms, many citizens express disappointment over the government's handling of migration and crime. Efforts to deploy military forces to border regions proved insufficient to stem the tide of illegal crossings, particularly along the nation's border with Peru and Bolivia.
In response to mounting pressure, the government adopted a tougher stance on migration, announcing that Chile could no longer accommodate large numbers of undocumented arrivals. Despite these measures, the administration struggled to regain public confidence, as evidenced by recent election results.
In the first round of the presidential election, the candidate representing the Communist Party, Jeanette Jara, secured the highest share of votes. However, her lead remains narrow, with right-wing candidate José Antonio Kast following closely behind. The combined support for conservative candidates suggests that Kast is well-positioned to win the upcoming runoff election, scheduled for December 14. Analysts note that most right-leaning voters are unlikely to shift their support to Jara, despite her own pledges to combat organized crime.
Kast's campaign has resonated with a broad segment of the electorate, largely due to his emphasis on law and order. His proposals include the construction of extensive border barriers, the deployment of thousands of military police to prevent illegal entry, and the use of advanced surveillance technology such as drones equipped with thermal cameras. These initiatives are designed to enhance border security and facilitate the immediate deportation of individuals found entering the country unlawfully.
Beyond his security policies, Kast is known for his socially conservative views. He and his family oppose abortion, and he has frequently expressed admiration for the military dictatorship of Augusto Pinochet, which ruled Chile during the 1970s and 1980s and was notorious for widespread human rights abuses. Kast's open praise of the former regime continues to generate controversy, yet it has not diminished his appeal among voters seeking a return to order and stability.
The parallels between Kast and other right-wing leaders in the region, such as Brazil's former president Jair Bolsonaro, are notable. Both figures draw on a combination of tough rhetoric, conservative values, and promises of decisive action to attract supporters disillusioned with the status quo.
As Chile prepares for the decisive phase of its presidential election, the outcome is likely to shape the country's direction on immigration, security, and civil liberties for years to come. The prospect of a candidate with strong ties to the legacy of the Pinochet era ascending to the presidency highlights the profound impact of social and political unrest on voter preferences and the country's future trajectory.